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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shanghai Industrial Development Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600748) Low P/S
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x Shanghai Industrial Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600748) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Real Estate companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd
How Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen firmly for Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 11% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 4.6% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 9.3% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we understand why Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd (including 2 which can't be ignored).
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600748
Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd
Develops, operates, sells, and manages real estate properties in China.
Mediocre balance sheet low.