Here's Why Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600748) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Shanghai Industrial Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600748) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd Carry?

As you can see below, Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd had CN¥13.1b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥2.81b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥10.3b.

A Look At Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd had liabilities of CN¥6.94b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥11.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.81b as well as receivables valued at CN¥332.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥15.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥7.56b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.7 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 13.9 hit our confidence in Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd saw its EBIT tank 55% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd is carrying heavy debt load. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Industrial DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.