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Suzhou New District Hi-Tech Industrial Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600736) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 38x, you may consider Suzhou New District Hi-Tech Industrial Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600736) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 42.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd
Is There Enough Growth For Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 63% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600736
Suzhou New District Hi-Tech IndustrialLtd
Engages in the real estate, energy conservation and environmental protection, strategic emerging industries, non-bank finance and industrial investment business in China.
Slight and slightly overvalued.
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