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Cinda Real Estate (SHSE:600657) shareholders notch a 16% CAGR over 3 years, yet earnings have been shrinking
It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Cinda Real Estate Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600657) share price down 12% in the last month. But that shouldn't obscure the pleasing returns achieved by shareholders over the last three years. To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 54% during that period.
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Cinda Real Estate investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.
View our latest analysis for Cinda Real Estate
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the three years of share price growth, Cinda Real Estate actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 45% per year.
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 33% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
This free interactive report on Cinda Real Estate's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Cinda Real Estate's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Cinda Real Estate shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 57%, over the last 3 years, is better than the share price return.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Cinda Real Estate shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over the last year. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 7%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Cinda Real Estate (including 2 which are concerning) .
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600657
Cinda Real Estate
Engages in the real estate development business in China.
Moderate with mediocre balance sheet.