Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Shanghai Chengtou Holding Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600649) Muted Earnings

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.2x Shanghai Chengtou Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600649) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 31x and even P/E's higher than 56x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600649 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 5th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
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How Is Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 73% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 83% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Bottom Line On Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those shouldn't be ignored.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SHSE:600649

Shanghai Chengtou HoldingLtd

Engages in the real estate development business in China.

Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.

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