Stock Analysis

Yifan Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002019) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SZSE:002019
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Yifan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002019) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Yifan Pharmaceutical

How Much Debt Does Yifan Pharmaceutical Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Yifan Pharmaceutical had debt of CN¥2.46b, up from CN¥1.86b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.08b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.37b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002019 Debt to Equity History January 30th 2025

How Healthy Is Yifan Pharmaceutical's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Yifan Pharmaceutical had liabilities of CN¥2.98b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥966.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.08b and CN¥1.56b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.31b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Yifan Pharmaceutical has a market capitalization of CN¥13.1b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Yifan Pharmaceutical's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.2) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.5, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, one redeeming factor is that Yifan Pharmaceutical grew its EBIT at 12% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yifan Pharmaceutical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Yifan Pharmaceutical burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Yifan Pharmaceutical's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its EBIT growth rate is relatively strong. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Yifan Pharmaceutical's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Yifan Pharmaceutical that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:002019

Yifan Pharmaceutical

Engages in the researches and develops, produces, and sells macromolecules, biosimilars, generic drugs, small molecules, synthetic biologics, and special traditional Chinese medicines in China Southeast Asia, Europe, North America, Singapore, South Korea, Italy, Germany, and the United States, and internationally.

Reasonable growth potential and fair value.

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