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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Beijing Zhidemai Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300785) 26% Share Price Plunge
Beijing Zhidemai Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300785) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 39% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may still consider Beijing Zhidemai Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 48.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Beijing Zhidemai Technology hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Beijing Zhidemai Technology
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Beijing Zhidemai Technology.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Beijing Zhidemai Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 54% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 132% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 35%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Beijing Zhidemai Technology is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Beijing Zhidemai Technology's P/E
Beijing Zhidemai Technology's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Beijing Zhidemai Technology maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Beijing Zhidemai Technology (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Beijing Zhidemai Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Beijing Zhidemai Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300785
Beijing Zhidemai Technology
Engages in the Internet information promotion activities in China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.