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There's Reason For Concern Over Shenzhen Kingsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300235) Massive 29% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, Shenzhen Kingsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300235) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.6% isn't as attractive.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 6.9x, you may consider Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 29.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd
How Has Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?
The revenue growth achieved at Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 13% last year. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 34% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
The fact that Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300235
Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd
Researches, designs, develops, sells, and services education products for primary and secondary schools, teachers, and students in China.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.