Even With A 32% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Xiamen Jihong Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002803) Performance Completely
Xiamen Jihong Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002803) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 26% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, Xiamen Jihong Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Xiamen Jihong Technology as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Xiamen Jihong Technology
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Xiamen Jihong Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Xiamen Jihong Technology's Growth Trending?
Xiamen Jihong Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 54% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 38% per annum during the coming three years according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Xiamen Jihong Technology is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Xiamen Jihong Technology's P/E
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Xiamen Jihong Technology's P/E close to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Xiamen Jihong Technology currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Xiamen Jihong Technology you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Xiamen Jihong Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002803
Xiamen Jihong Technology
Engages in the cross-border social e-commerce business in China.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.