Chengdu B-ray Media Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600880) Shares Climb 29% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Chengdu B-ray Media Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600880) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd
What Does Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
There hasn't been much to differentiate Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd's and the industry's revenue growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.3% gain to the company's revenues. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 16% overall drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 13% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
What Does Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Analysts are forecasting Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd with six simple checks.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600880
Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd
Engages in the media operations business in China.
Adequate balance sheet with questionable track record.