Stock Analysis

Improved Revenues Required Before New Guomai Digital Culture Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600640) Shares Find Their Feet

SHSE:600640
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New Guomai Digital Culture Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600640) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.2x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Interactive Media and Services industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 8.6x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for New Guomai Digital Culture

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600640 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 12th 2025

What Does New Guomai Digital Culture's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at New Guomai Digital Culture over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on New Guomai Digital Culture will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For New Guomai Digital Culture?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like New Guomai Digital Culture's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 58% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that New Guomai Digital Culture is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of New Guomai Digital Culture revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for New Guomai Digital Culture that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if New Guomai Digital Culture might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SHSE:600640

New Guomai Digital Culture

Engages in digital content, digital intelligence application, metaverse cloud platform, physical scene, and digital assets businesses.

Flawless balance sheet and overvalued.

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