Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co., Ltd.

XSEC:003038 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥4.6b

Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Valuation

Is 003038 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 003038 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 003038 (CN¥18.76) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥3.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 003038 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 003038?

Key metric: As 003038 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 003038. This is calculated by dividing 003038's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 003038's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.1x
EarningsCN¥227.00m
Market CapCN¥4.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 003038's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 003038 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.4x
301613 Alnera Aluminium
32.5xn/aCN¥6.2b
002996 Chongqing Shunbo AluminumLtd
21.7xn/aCN¥4.5b
603211 Jintuo Technology
78xn/aCN¥4.3b
002988 Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd
21.4x27.3%CN¥4.9b
003038 Anhui Xinbo Aluminum
20.1x69.0%CN¥4.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 003038 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the peer average (38.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 003038's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Metals and Mining Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
600117 Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd
3.5xn/aUS$1.17b
No more companies available in this PE range
003038 20.1xIndustry Avg. 27.1xNo. of Companies24PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 003038 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the CN Metals and Mining industry average (27.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 003038's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

003038 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.1x
Fair PE Ratio49.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 003038 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 003038 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥18.76
CN¥36.07
+92.3%
10.9%CN¥40.00CN¥32.14n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥15.94
CN¥30.36
+90.4%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥15.48
CN¥30.36
+96.1%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥13.18
CN¥30.36
+130.3%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥13.12
CN¥30.36
+131.4%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥14.89
CN¥30.36
+103.9%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥17.53
CN¥30.36
+73.2%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
May ’25CN¥19.91
CN¥30.36
+52.4%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Jan ’25CN¥24.54
CN¥33.21
+35.4%
3.2%CN¥34.29CN¥32.14n/a2
Dec ’24CN¥24.43
CN¥33.21
+36.0%
3.2%CN¥34.29CN¥32.14n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥23.92
CN¥33.21
+38.8%
3.2%CN¥34.29CN¥32.14CN¥15.942
Oct ’24CN¥25.14
CN¥33.21
+32.1%
3.2%CN¥34.29CN¥32.14CN¥15.482
Sep ’24CN¥26.89
CN¥37.55
+39.6%
16.5%CN¥46.24CN¥32.14CN¥13.183
Aug ’24CN¥26.95
CN¥44.22
+64.1%
19.4%CN¥53.57CN¥32.86CN¥13.123
Jul ’24CN¥29.61
CN¥44.22
+49.3%
19.4%CN¥53.57CN¥32.86CN¥14.893
Jun ’24CN¥22.73
CN¥44.22
+94.6%
19.4%CN¥53.57CN¥32.86CN¥17.533
May ’24CN¥24.49
CN¥45.65
+86.4%
14.7%CN¥53.57CN¥37.14CN¥19.913
Apr ’24CN¥29.16
CN¥45.65
+56.6%
14.7%CN¥53.57CN¥37.14CN¥23.173
Mar ’24n/a
CN¥49.90
0%
7.3%CN¥53.57CN¥46.24CN¥21.412

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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