Stock Analysis

Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301286) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?

SZSE:301286
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Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's (SZSE:301286) stock is up by a considerable 31% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Specifically, we decided to study Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd is:

10% = CN¥178m ÷ CN¥1.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CNÂ¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CNÂ¥0.10 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

When you first look at it, Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.2%, is definitely interesting. But seeing Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's five year net income decline of 7.4% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. So that could be one of the factors that are causing earnings growth to shrink.

So, as a next step, we compared Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 4.9% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301286 Past Earnings Growth November 29th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's low three-year median payout ratio of 18% (implying that it retains the remaining 82% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Additionally, Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd has some positive aspects to its business. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.