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Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301040) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 27% Price Plummet
Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301040) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 38% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have P/S ratios below 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
View our latest analysis for Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment
What Does Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 22%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 46% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:301040
Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment
Zhangjiagang Zhonghuan Hailu High-End Equipment Co., Ltd.
Adequate balance sheet very low.