Stock Analysis

Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300320) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

SZSE:300320
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Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic (SZSE:300320) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 18% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic is:

6.5% = CN¥148m ÷ CN¥2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.07.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic's Earnings Growth And 6.5% ROE

When you first look at it, Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.4%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic's five year net income decline rate was 14%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

So, as a next step, we compared Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 7.8% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:300320 Past Earnings Growth July 21st 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

When we piece together Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic's low three-year median payout ratio of 11% (where it is retaining 89% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Additionally, Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.