Stock Analysis
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- SZSE:003038
Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co., Ltd. (SZSE:003038) Stock Rockets 25% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company
Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co., Ltd. (SZSE:003038) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 6.4% over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 39x, you may still consider Anhui Xinbo Aluminum as an attractive investment with its 22.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Anhui Xinbo Aluminum has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Anhui Xinbo Aluminum
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Anhui Xinbo Aluminum's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 28%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 34% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 235% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 37%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Anhui Xinbo Aluminum's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Despite Anhui Xinbo Aluminum's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Anhui Xinbo Aluminum's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 5 warning signs for Anhui Xinbo Aluminum (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:003038
Anhui Xinbo Aluminum
Manufactures and sells aluminum alloy profiles.