Stock Analysis

Levima Advanced Materials (SZSE:003022) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

SZSE:003022
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Levima Advanced Materials Corporation (SZSE:003022) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Levima Advanced Materials

What Is Levima Advanced Materials's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Levima Advanced Materials had CN¥6.55b of debt, an increase on CN¥4.62b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥2.63b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥3.92b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:003022 Debt to Equity History February 29th 2024

How Strong Is Levima Advanced Materials' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Levima Advanced Materials had liabilities of CN¥5.04b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.40b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.63b as well as receivables valued at CN¥249.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥5.57b.

Levima Advanced Materials has a market capitalization of CN¥22.3b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.50 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.8 hit our confidence in Levima Advanced Materials like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Levima Advanced Materials's EBIT was down 95% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Levima Advanced Materials's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Levima Advanced Materials burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Levima Advanced Materials's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Levima Advanced Materials's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Levima Advanced Materials has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Levima Advanced Materials is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.