Shanxi Huhua Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:003002) Shares Bounce 25% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
Shanxi Huhua Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:003002) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last month tops off a massive increase of 102% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Shanxi Huhua Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 40x and even P/E's above 78x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Shanxi Huhua Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Shanxi Huhua Group
How Is Shanxi Huhua Group's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shanxi Huhua Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 68% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanxi Huhua Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Bottom Line On Shanxi Huhua Group's P/E
Shanxi Huhua Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Shanxi Huhua Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Shanxi Huhua Group that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanxi Huhua Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:003002
Shanxi Huhua Group
Engages in the research and development, production, sale, import, export, and service of civil explosive products in China.
Excellent balance sheet with questionable track record.
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