Stock Analysis

Does Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group (SZSE:002683) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SZSE:002683
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002683) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group

What Is Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group had CN¥3.86b of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥4.03b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.37b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.49b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002683 Debt to Equity History March 21st 2024

How Healthy Is Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group had liabilities of CN¥5.49b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.30b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.37b in cash and CN¥4.97b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥457.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group shares are worth a total of CN¥15.8b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. The good news is that Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group has increased its EBIT by 2.1% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group recorded free cash flow of 24% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

The good news is that Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangdong Hongda Holdings Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.