Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre Material Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002395) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre Material Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002395) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 30% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 88% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may consider Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd
How Has Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd Performed Recently?
Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd?
Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 21% last year. As a result, it also grew revenue by 15% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 21% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The large bounce in Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002395
Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd
Manufactures and sells artificial and synthetic leather products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.