Stock Analysis

Is Yibin Tianyuan Group (SZSE:002386) Using Debt Sensibly?

SZSE:002386
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Yibin Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002386) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Yibin Tianyuan Group

How Much Debt Does Yibin Tianyuan Group Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yibin Tianyuan Group had CN¥7.98b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥3.79b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥4.19b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002386 Debt to Equity History December 24th 2024

A Look At Yibin Tianyuan Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Yibin Tianyuan Group had liabilities of CN¥8.88b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.23b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.79b in cash and CN¥1.36b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.96b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥5.86b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Yibin Tianyuan Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Yibin Tianyuan Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 42%, to CN¥13b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Yibin Tianyuan Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥249m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CN¥1.4b in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Yibin Tianyuan Group you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:002386

Yibin Tianyuan Group

Produces and distributes chlor-alkali chemicals in China and internationally.

Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.

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