There's Reason For Concern Over Zhejiang Yongtai Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002326) Massive 40% Price Jump
The Zhejiang Yongtai Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002326) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 40%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 16% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio of 2.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Chemicals industry in China is also close to 2.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd
What Does Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 17%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 9.7% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 21% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002326
Zhejiang Yongtai TechnologyLtd
Engages in the manufacture and sale of fluorinated pharmaceuticals, crop science, and new energy materials primarily in China.
Very low and overvalued.