Stock Analysis

Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000893) last week's 6.0% decline must have disappointed individual investors who have a significant stake

SZSE:000893
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000893), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. We can see that individual investors own the lion's share in the company with 42% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

As a result, individual investors as a group endured the highest losses last week after market cap fell by CN¥863m.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd.

See our latest analysis for Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd

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SZSE:000893 Ownership Breakdown July 17th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

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SZSE:000893 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 17th 2024

Hedge funds don't have many shares in Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd. The company's largest shareholder is All China Federation of Supply and Marketing Cooperatives, with ownership of 16%. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 9.1% and 8.4%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

After doing some more digging, we found that the top 11 have the combined ownership of 51% in the company, suggesting that no single shareholder has significant control over the company.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our information suggests that Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd. insiders own under 1% of the company. However, it's possible that insiders might have an indirect interest through a more complex structure. It's a big company, so even a small proportional interest can create alignment between the board and shareholders. In this case insiders own CN¥120m worth of shares. It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 42% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Private Equity Ownership

With a stake of 15%, private equity firms could influence the Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd board. Sometimes we see private equity stick around for the long term, but generally speaking they have a shorter investment horizon and -- as the name suggests -- don't invest in public companies much. After some time they may look to sell and redeploy capital elsewhere.

Private Company Ownership

We can see that Private Companies own 26%, of the shares on issue. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.Ltd (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.