Stock Analysis

Here's Why Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy (SZSE:000683) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SZSE:000683
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy Company Limited (SZSE:000683) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy

What Is Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy had CN¥8.10b of debt, up from CN¥6.91b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥3.01b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥5.10b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000683 Debt to Equity History June 13th 2024

How Healthy Is Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy had liabilities of CN¥7.62b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥7.43b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.01b and CN¥1.73b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥10.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy has a market capitalization of CN¥25.6b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy has net debt of just 1.0 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. Also positive, Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy created free cash flow amounting to 8.0% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy was the fact that it seems able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to convert EBIT to free cash flow. Considering this range of data points, we think Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Inner Mongolia Yuan Xing Energy you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.