ADAMA Ltd.

SZSE:000553 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥16.0b

ADAMA Valuation

Is 000553 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000553 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000553 (CN¥7.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥110.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000553 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000553?

Key metric: As 000553 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 000553. This is calculated by dividing 000553's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 000553's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesCN¥29.64b
Market CapCN¥16.04b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 000553's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 000553 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
000422 Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry
0.9x12.2%CN¥14.5b
301035 Shandong Weifang Rainbow Chemical
1.1x12.7%CN¥13.6b
603395 CNSIG Anhui Hongsifang Fertilizer
3.2xn/aCN¥12.1b
000902 YONFER Agricultural Technology
1.1x8.5%CN¥16.6b
000553 ADAMA
0.6x6.5%CN¥16.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 000553 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 000553's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002493 Rongsheng Petrochemical
0.3x9.1%US$12.13b
000301 Jiangsu Eastern ShenghongLtd
0.4x7.5%US$7.94b
601233 Tongkun Group
0.3x4.6%US$3.93b
000703 Hengyi Petrochemical
0.2x5.1%US$2.78b
000553 0.6xIndustry Avg. 2.4xNo. of Companies61PS01.63.24.86.48+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 000553 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (2.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000553's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000553 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 000553 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000553 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥7.19
CN¥4.65
-35.3%
16.1%CN¥5.40CN¥3.90n/a2
Dec ’25CN¥6.68
CN¥4.65
-30.4%
16.1%CN¥5.40CN¥3.90n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥6.84
CN¥4.95
-27.6%
9.1%CN¥5.40CN¥4.50n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥5.62
CN¥4.95
-11.9%
9.1%CN¥5.40CN¥4.50n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥4.37
CN¥4.95
+13.3%
9.1%CN¥5.40CN¥4.50n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥4.43
CN¥5.85
+32.1%
23.1%CN¥7.20CN¥4.50n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥4.64
CN¥6.60
+42.2%
9.1%CN¥7.20CN¥6.00n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥5.89
CN¥6.60
+12.1%
9.1%CN¥7.20CN¥6.00n/a2
May ’25CN¥6.31
CN¥6.60
+4.6%
9.1%CN¥7.20CN¥6.00n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥6.21
CN¥6.40
+3.1%
12.5%CN¥7.20CN¥5.60n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥6.57
CN¥7.00
+6.5%
20.0%CN¥8.40CN¥5.60n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥7.56
CN¥8.80
+16.4%
4.5%CN¥9.20CN¥8.40CN¥6.842
Oct ’24CN¥7.79
CN¥9.97
+27.9%
16.9%CN¥12.30CN¥8.40CN¥5.623
Sep ’24CN¥7.75
CN¥10.80
+39.3%
9.9%CN¥12.30CN¥9.89CN¥4.373
Aug ’24CN¥8.70
CN¥10.80
+24.1%
9.9%CN¥12.30CN¥9.89CN¥4.433
Jul ’24CN¥8.44
CN¥10.80
+27.9%
9.9%CN¥12.30CN¥9.89CN¥4.643
Jun ’24CN¥8.40
CN¥10.80
+28.5%
9.9%CN¥12.30CN¥9.89CN¥5.893
May ’24CN¥8.55
CN¥10.80
+26.3%
9.9%CN¥12.30CN¥9.89CN¥6.313
Apr ’24CN¥9.12
CN¥11.03
+20.9%
11.0%CN¥12.30CN¥9.40CN¥6.213
Mar ’24CN¥9.79
CN¥10.39
+6.1%
9.5%CN¥11.38CN¥9.40CN¥6.572
Feb ’24CN¥9.54
CN¥10.39
+8.9%
9.5%CN¥11.38CN¥9.40CN¥6.012
Jan ’24CN¥9.05
CN¥10.39
+14.8%
9.5%CN¥11.38CN¥9.40CN¥6.942
Dec ’23CN¥9.68
CN¥10.39
+7.3%
9.5%CN¥11.38CN¥9.40CN¥7.652

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 19:57
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ADAMA Ltd. is covered by 16 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Joseph WolfBarclays
Haim IsraelBofA Global Research
Di WuChina International Capital Corporation Limited