Chengdu Wintrue Holding Co., Ltd.

SZSE:002539 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥9.8b

Chengdu Wintrue Holding Valuation

Is 002539 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002539 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002539 (CN¥8.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥14.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002539 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002539?

Key metric: As 002539 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002539. This is calculated by dividing 002539's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002539's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.6x
EarningsCN¥846.39m
Market CapCN¥9.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002539's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002539 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39x
002588 Stanley Agriculture GroupLtd
11.2x12.8%CN¥8.8b
002215 Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science
21.2x32.4%CN¥9.4b
600226 Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd
36.3xn/aCN¥6.9b
600313 Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group
87.3xn/aCN¥7.2b
002539 Chengdu Wintrue Holding
11.6x21.8%CN¥9.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002539 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (39x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002539's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
002539 11.6xIndustry Avg. 36.4xNo. of Companies42PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002539 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (36.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002539's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002539 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.6x
Fair PE Ratio20x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002539 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002539 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥8.13
CN¥9.91
+21.9%
11.0%CN¥11.00CN¥8.82n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥7.89
CN¥9.91
+25.6%
11.0%CN¥11.00CN¥8.82n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥8.39
CN¥9.91
+18.1%
11.0%CN¥11.00CN¥8.82n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥7.18
CN¥9.91
+38.0%
11.0%CN¥11.00CN¥8.82n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥8.34
CN¥13.69
+64.1%
19.6%CN¥16.38CN¥11.00CN¥7.892
Oct ’24CN¥8.39
CN¥13.69
+63.2%
19.6%CN¥16.38CN¥11.00CN¥8.392
Sep ’24CN¥8.56
CN¥16.19
+89.1%
1.2%CN¥16.38CN¥16.00CN¥7.182
Aug ’24CN¥9.55
CN¥16.19
+69.5%
1.2%CN¥16.38CN¥16.00CN¥6.782
Jul ’24CN¥8.98
CN¥16.19
+80.3%
1.2%CN¥16.38CN¥16.00CN¥7.362
Jun ’24CN¥8.74
CN¥16.19
+85.2%
1.2%CN¥16.38CN¥16.00CN¥8.432

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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