Chengdu Wintrue Holding Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 002539 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

002539 (CN¥7.81) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥14.76)

Is 002539 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002539 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002539 (CN¥7.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥14.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002539 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002539?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 002539. This is calculated by dividing 002539's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 002539's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CN¥9.39b

002539 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.3x
PEG Ratio	0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002539's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002539 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	23.3x
002588 Stanley Agriculture GroupLtd	10.2x	10.7%	CN¥8.1b
002895 Guizhou Chanhen Chemical	12.2x	27.0%	CN¥9.8b
600313 Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group	57.9x	n/a	CN¥6.1b
603599 Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical	12.8x	30.6%	CN¥10.6b
002539 Chengdu Wintrue Holding	11.3x	21.3%	CN¥9.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002539 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (23.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002539's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	33.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	33.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002539 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (28.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002539's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002539 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	11.3x
Fair PE Ratio	17.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002539 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002539 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥7.81	CN¥9.91 +26.9%	11.0%	CN¥11.00	CN¥8.82	n/a	2
Sep ’25	CN¥7.18	CN¥9.91 +38.0%	11.0%	CN¥11.00	CN¥8.82	n/a	2
Nov ’24	CN¥8.34	CN¥13.69 +64.1%	19.6%	CN¥16.38	CN¥11.00	n/a	2
Oct ’24	CN¥8.39	CN¥13.69 +63.2%	19.6%	CN¥16.38	CN¥11.00	n/a	2
Sep ’24	CN¥8.56	CN¥16.19 +89.1%	1.2%	CN¥16.38	CN¥16.00	CN¥7.18	2
Aug ’24	CN¥9.55	CN¥16.19 +69.5%	1.2%	CN¥16.38	CN¥16.00	CN¥6.78	2
Jul ’24	CN¥8.98	CN¥16.19 +80.3%	1.2%	CN¥16.38	CN¥16.00	CN¥7.36	2
Jun ’24	CN¥8.74	CN¥16.19 +85.2%	1.2%	CN¥16.38	CN¥16.00	CN¥8.43	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.