Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Zhongrun Resources Investment Corporation (SZSE:000506) As Shares Slide 25%

SZSE:000506
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Zhongrun Resources Investment Corporation (SZSE:000506) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 10% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, you may still consider Zhongrun Resources Investment as a stock not worth researching with its 13.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Zhongrun Resources Investment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000506 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 9th 2024

What Does Zhongrun Resources Investment's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Zhongrun Resources Investment's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhongrun Resources Investment, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhongrun Resources Investment would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.5%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 41% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhongrun Resources Investment's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Zhongrun Resources Investment's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Zhongrun Resources Investment currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhongrun Resources Investment (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhongrun Resources Investment, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhongrun Resources Investment might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.