Stock Analysis
- China
- /
- Paper and Forestry Products
- /
- SZSE:000488
Shareholders in Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings (SZSE:000488) have lost 61%, as stock drops 4.2% this past week
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited (SZSE:000488) share price up 11% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been disappointing. Regrettably, the share price slid 62% in that period. Some might say the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
See our latest analysis for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings
Because Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
Over the last three years, Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings' revenue dropped 9.6% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. The share price decline of 18% compound, over three years, is understandable given the company doesn't have profits to boast of, and revenue is moving in the wrong direction. Of course, it's the future that will determine whether today's price is a good one. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and can't grow revenues. But any company is worth looking at when it makes a maiden profit.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
This free interactive report on Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 9.1% in the twelve months, Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings shareholders did even worse, losing 20%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.
But note: Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000488
Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings
Engages in the pulp production and paper making in China and internationally.