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There's Reason For Concern Over Western Superconducting Technologies Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688122) Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.6x Western Superconducting Technologies Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688122) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Western Superconducting Technologies' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Western Superconducting Technologies
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Western Superconducting Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 39%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 35% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 28% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 26% per year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's curious that Western Superconducting Technologies' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Western Superconducting Technologies' P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Western Superconducting Technologies' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Western Superconducting Technologies.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Western Superconducting Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688122
Western Superconducting Technologies
Western Superconducting Technologies Co., Ltd.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.