Stock Analysis
Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603991) Stock Rockets 31% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Those holding Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603991) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The last month tops off a massive increase of 123% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds as a stock to avoid entirely with its 17.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds
What Does Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 34% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 59% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds' P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
The fact that Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603991
Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds
Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds Co., Ltd.