Subdued Growth No Barrier To Zhejiang Jihua Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603980) With Shares Advancing 27%
Zhejiang Jihua Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603980) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.8% isn't as attractive.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Zhejiang Jihua Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Zhejiang Jihua Group
What Does Zhejiang Jihua Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Zhejiang Jihua Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Jihua Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Jihua Group?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Zhejiang Jihua Group's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.2%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 21% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Zhejiang Jihua Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Zhejiang Jihua Group appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We find it unexpected that Zhejiang Jihua Group trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Zhejiang Jihua Group, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Jihua Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603980
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.