Stock Analysis

Is JCHX Mining ManagementLtd (SHSE:603979) A Risky Investment?

SHSE:603979
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that JCHX Mining Management Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603979) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for JCHX Mining ManagementLtd

What Is JCHX Mining ManagementLtd's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 JCHX Mining ManagementLtd had CN¥2.85b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.19b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥1.64b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.21b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603979 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2024

A Look At JCHX Mining ManagementLtd's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, JCHX Mining ManagementLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.63b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.44b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.64b and CN¥3.63b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥795.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded JCHX Mining ManagementLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥33.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

JCHX Mining ManagementLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.55. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 16.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, JCHX Mining ManagementLtd grew its EBIT by 93% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if JCHX Mining ManagementLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, JCHX Mining ManagementLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Happily, JCHX Mining ManagementLtd's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that JCHX Mining ManagementLtd can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for JCHX Mining ManagementLtd you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether JCHX Mining ManagementLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.