Stock Analysis

Suzhou Xingye Materials Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603928) Stock Rockets 29% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SHSE:603928
Source: Shutterstock

Suzhou Xingye Materials Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603928) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 29% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.5x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 32x and even P/E's lower than 20x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603928 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 7th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd?

Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 36% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 39% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd's P/E?

Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Suzhou Xingye Materials TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.