Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Yongyue Science&Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603879) Shares Dive 52%
Yongyue Science&Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603879) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 52% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 62% loss during that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio of 2.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Chemicals industry in China is also close to 2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd
What Does Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen firmly for Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 13% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 23% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd looks to be in line with the rest of the Chemicals industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Having said that, be aware Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603879
Yongyue Science&TechnologyLtd
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of synthetic resins in China.
Mediocre balance sheet and overvalued.