Stock Analysis

Does China Kings Resources GroupLtd (SHSE:603505) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SHSE:603505
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that China Kings Resources Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603505) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for China Kings Resources GroupLtd

What Is China Kings Resources GroupLtd's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, China Kings Resources GroupLtd had CN¥2.10b of debt, up from CN¥1.31b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥316.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.79b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603505 Debt to Equity History May 13th 2024

How Healthy Is China Kings Resources GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, China Kings Resources GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.10b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.17b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥316.5m as well as receivables valued at CN¥642.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.31b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, China Kings Resources GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥20.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

China Kings Resources GroupLtd's net debt is 2.9 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Importantly, China Kings Resources GroupLtd grew its EBIT by 50% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Kings Resources GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, China Kings Resources GroupLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

China Kings Resources GroupLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Considering this range of data points, we think China Kings Resources GroupLtd is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with China Kings Resources GroupLtd (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China Kings Resources GroupLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.