Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Liaoning Fu-An Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603315) With Shares Advancing 28%

SHSE:603315
Source: Shutterstock

Liaoning Fu-An Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603315) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 35% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 55.8x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing earnings at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this good earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603315 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 4.8% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 45% overall drop in EPS. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd's P/E

Shares in Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Liaoning Fu-An Heavy IndustryLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.