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Even after rising 17% this past week, Liuzhou Iron&Steel (SHSE:601003) shareholders are still down 48% over the past three years
Liuzhou Iron&Steel Co., Ltd (SHSE:601003) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 22% in the last month. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. Truth be told the share price declined 50% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
See our latest analysis for Liuzhou Iron&Steel
Because Liuzhou Iron&Steel made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
In the last three years Liuzhou Iron&Steel saw its revenue shrink by 3.8% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. The share price decline of 15% compound, over three years, is understandable given the company doesn't have profits to boast of, and revenue is moving in the wrong direction. Of course, it's the future that will determine whether today's price is a good one. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and can't grow revenues. But any company is worth looking at when it makes a maiden profit.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
Take a more thorough look at Liuzhou Iron&Steel's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Liuzhou Iron&Steel's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Liuzhou Iron&Steel's TSR, which was a 48% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
Liuzhou Iron&Steel shareholders are down 14% for the year, but the market itself is up 3.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Liuzhou Iron&Steel that you should be aware of.
We will like Liuzhou Iron&Steel better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601003
Liuzhou Iron&Steel
Liuzhou Iron and Steel Co., Ltd. produces and sells iron and steel products.
Slightly overvalued very low.