Stock Analysis
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer Fiber Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600527) With Shares Advancing 27%
Despite an already strong run, Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer Fiber Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600527) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 4.0% isn't as attractive.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd
How Has Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.4%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 21% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600527
Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd
Engages in the production and sale of composite short-fibers and polyester tops in China and internationally.