Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Hubei Geoway Investment Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600462) Revenues Pushing Shares 25% Lower

SHSE:600462
Source: Shutterstock

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Hubei Geoway Investment Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600462) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 45% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Forestry industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600462 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 18th 2024

What Does Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 65% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 136% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd's P/S

Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We didn't quite envision Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hubei Geoway InvestmentLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.