Stock Analysis

Rightway Holdings Co.,ltd.'s (SHSE:600321) 48% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

SHSE:600321
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Rightway Holdings Co.,ltd. (SHSE:600321) share price has dived 48% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 70% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Rightway Holdingsltd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Forestry industry is similar at about 1.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Rightway Holdingsltd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600321 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 31st 2024

What Does Rightway Holdingsltd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Rightway Holdingsltd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Rightway Holdingsltd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Rightway Holdingsltd?

Rightway Holdingsltd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 40% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 15% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Rightway Holdingsltd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Rightway Holdingsltd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Following Rightway Holdingsltd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at Rightway Holdingsltd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Rightway Holdingsltd that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Rightway Holdingsltd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.