Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co., Ltd.

XSSC:605016 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥5.4b

Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Valuation

Is 605016 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 605016 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 605016 (CN¥16.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥33.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 605016 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 605016?

Key metric: As 605016 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 605016. This is calculated by dividing 605016's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 605016's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23x
EarningsCN¥234.25m
Market CapCN¥5.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 605016's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 605016 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.4x
603170 Shanghai Bolex Food Technology
25.4x17.0%CN¥6.0b
300997 HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd
29.5x20.2%CN¥5.5b
002746 Shandong Xiantan
75x47.2%CN¥5.3b
300973 Ligao FoodsLtd
51.8x36.1%CN¥6.1b
605016 Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech
23x30.6%CN¥5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 605016 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the peer average (45.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 605016's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002157 Jiangxi Zhengbang TechnologyLtd
2.5xn/aUS$4.04b
600872 Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd
4.8x-46.9%US$2.36b
002086 Shandong Oriental Ocean Sci-Tech
3.6xn/aUS$800.78m
No more companies available in this PE range
605016 23.0xIndustry Avg. 29.3xNo. of Companies18PE020406080100+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 605016 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the CN Food industry average (28.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 605016's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

605016 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23x
Fair PE Ratio28.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 605016 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 605016 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥16.71
CN¥22.75
+36.1%
5.5%CN¥24.00CN¥21.50n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥17.24
CN¥22.75
+32.0%
5.5%CN¥24.00CN¥21.50n/a2
Dec ’24n/a
CN¥20.54
0%
23.6%CN¥25.38CN¥15.69n/a2
Nov ’24n/a
CN¥20.54
0%
23.6%CN¥25.38CN¥15.69CN¥17.242
Oct ’24n/a
CN¥18.23
0%
13.9%CN¥20.77CN¥15.69CN¥19.972
Sep ’24n/a
CN¥18.23
0%
13.9%CN¥20.77CN¥15.69CN¥16.562
Aug ’24n/a
CN¥17.74
0%
11.5%CN¥19.78CN¥15.69CN¥16.622
Jul ’24n/a
CN¥17.74
0%
11.5%CN¥19.78CN¥15.69CN¥20.212
Jun ’24n/a
CN¥17.74
0%
11.5%CN¥19.78CN¥15.69CN¥23.732

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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