Ligao FoodsLtd Valuation

Is 300973 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300973 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300973 (CN¥36.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥72.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300973 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300973?

Key metric: As 300973 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300973. This is calculated by dividing 300973's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300973's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio52x
EarningsCN¥117.72m
Market CapCN¥6.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300973's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300973 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.8x
300997 HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd
29.3x20.2%CN¥5.5b
002481 Yantai Shuangta Food
37.3xn/aCN¥6.1b
605016 Shandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech
23x30.6%CN¥5.4b
603170 Shanghai Bolex Food Technology
25.7x17.0%CN¥6.0b
300973 Ligao FoodsLtd
52x36.1%CN¥6.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300973 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52x) compared to the peer average (28.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300973's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002157 Jiangxi Zhengbang TechnologyLtd
2.5xn/aUS$4.04b
600872 Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd
4.8x-46.9%US$2.36b
002086 Shandong Oriental Ocean Sci-Tech
3.3xn/aUS$801.00m
No more companies available in this PE range
300973 52.0xIndustry Avg. 28.5xNo. of Companies19PE020406080100+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300973 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52x) compared to the CN Food industry average (28.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300973's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300973 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio52x
Fair PE Ratio32x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300973 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300973 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥36.47
CN¥39.16
+7.4%
8.4%CN¥44.00CN¥34.00n/a6
Nov ’25CN¥36.25
CN¥38.33
+5.7%
9.4%CN¥44.00CN¥34.00n/a6
Oct ’25CN¥36.20
CN¥30.92
-14.6%
7.9%CN¥35.00CN¥28.00n/a5
Sep ’25CN¥24.41
CN¥35.84
+46.8%
13.9%CN¥42.00CN¥29.20n/a5
Aug ’25CN¥25.82
CN¥41.56
+61.0%
12.3%CN¥46.50CN¥32.00n/a5
Jul ’25CN¥28.34
CN¥41.96
+48.1%
12.7%CN¥46.50CN¥32.00n/a5
Jun ’25CN¥34.80
CN¥41.96
+20.6%
12.7%CN¥46.50CN¥32.00n/a5
May ’25CN¥35.82
CN¥47.42
+32.4%
23.8%CN¥70.00CN¥32.00n/a6
Apr ’25CN¥34.90
CN¥55.08
+57.8%
25.5%CN¥77.35CN¥37.50n/a6
Mar ’25CN¥35.61
CN¥55.08
+54.7%
25.5%CN¥77.35CN¥37.50n/a6
Feb ’25CN¥33.39
CN¥55.08
+65.0%
25.5%CN¥77.35CN¥37.50n/a6
Jan ’25CN¥48.55
CN¥78.25
+61.2%
5.6%CN¥83.16CN¥70.00n/a6
Dec ’24CN¥53.91
CN¥78.25
+45.2%
5.6%CN¥83.16CN¥70.00n/a6
Nov ’24CN¥53.31
CN¥78.25
+46.8%
5.6%CN¥83.16CN¥70.00CN¥36.256
Oct ’24CN¥63.65
CN¥86.63
+36.1%
7.4%CN¥95.00CN¥77.35CN¥36.206
Sep ’24CN¥69.83
CN¥92.89
+33.0%
8.2%CN¥105.00CN¥81.44CN¥24.415
Aug ’24CN¥70.02
CN¥101.43
+44.9%
6.6%CN¥111.17CN¥93.00CN¥25.825
Jul ’24CN¥68.42
CN¥104.43
+52.6%
5.2%CN¥111.17CN¥95.00CN¥28.345
Jun ’24CN¥76.67
CN¥106.79
+39.3%
2.9%CN¥111.17CN¥103.00CN¥34.804
May ’24CN¥95.46
CN¥109.04
+14.2%
3.7%CN¥114.00CN¥103.00CN¥35.824
Apr ’24CN¥105.99
CN¥112.31
+6.0%
6.4%CN¥121.24CN¥103.00CN¥34.904
Mar ’24CN¥96.95
CN¥100.05
+3.2%
6.5%CN¥106.14CN¥91.00CN¥35.613
Feb ’24CN¥89.35
CN¥100.05
+12.0%
6.5%CN¥106.14CN¥91.00CN¥33.393
Jan ’24CN¥96.18
CN¥94.34
-1.9%
12.1%CN¥106.14CN¥77.20CN¥48.554
Dec ’23CN¥92.14
CN¥90.69
-1.6%
10.1%CN¥103.00CN¥77.20CN¥53.914
Nov ’23CN¥78.94
CN¥90.69
+14.9%
10.1%CN¥103.00CN¥77.20CN¥53.314

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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