Stock Analysis

Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Captivating Increase To Their Three Squirrels Inc. (SZSE:300783) Forecasts

SZSE:300783
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Celebrations may be in order for Three Squirrels Inc. (SZSE:300783) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. The analysts greatly increased their revenue estimates, suggesting a stark improvement in business fundamentals. The stock price has risen 7.5% to CN¥22.85 over the past week, suggesting investors are becoming more optimistic. Could this big upgrade push the stock even higher?

Following the upgrade, the latest consensus from Three Squirrels' six analysts is for revenues of CN¥9.9b in 2024, which would reflect a sizeable 39% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to leap 50% to CN¥0.83. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥8.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.73 in 2024. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

See our latest analysis for Three Squirrels

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SZSE:300783 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 28th 2024

Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of CN¥23.25, suggesting that the higher estimates are not likely to have a long term impact on what the stock is worth.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Three Squirrels is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 39% annualised growth until the end of 2024. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 5.5% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 13% per year. So it looks like Three Squirrels is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. Fortunately, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling, but with a serious upgrade to this year's earnings expectations, it might be time to take another look at Three Squirrels.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Three Squirrels going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Three Squirrels might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.