Anhui Gujing Distillery Valuation

Is 200596 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 200596 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 200596 (HK$110) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$209.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 200596 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 200596?

Key metric: As 200596 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 200596. This is calculated by dividing 200596's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 200596's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	18.5x
Earnings	CN¥5.52b
Market Cap	CN¥91.14b

200596 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	3.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	9.8x
PEG Ratio	1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 200596's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 200596 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	16.1x
603369 Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd	15.7x	12.2%	CN¥56.3b
002304 Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery	15.3x	7.0%	CN¥128.7b
603198 Anhui Yingjia Distillery	18.9x	13.9%	CN¥49.5b
000568 Luzhou LaojiaoLtd	14.3x	10.8%	CN¥204.4b
200596 Anhui Gujing Distillery	18.5x	12.5%	HK$91.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 200596 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (16.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 200596's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Beverage Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 200596 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the CN Beverage industry average (23.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 200596's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

200596 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	18.5x
Fair PE Ratio	25.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 200596 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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