Heilongjiang Agriculture (SHSE:600598) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Heilongjiang Agriculture (SHSE:600598) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Heilongjiang Agriculture, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = CN¥1.1b ÷ (CN¥15b - CN¥6.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Thus, Heilongjiang Agriculture has an ROCE of 14%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Food industry average of 7.6% it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for Heilongjiang Agriculture
In the above chart we have measured Heilongjiang Agriculture's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Heilongjiang Agriculture .
The Trend Of ROCE
Things have been pretty stable at Heilongjiang Agriculture, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Heilongjiang Agriculture to be a multi-bagger going forward.
Another thing to note, Heilongjiang Agriculture has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 45%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Bottom Line On Heilongjiang Agriculture's ROCE
We can conclude that in regards to Heilongjiang Agriculture's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 47% over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Heilongjiang Agriculture and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
While Heilongjiang Agriculture isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Heilongjiang Agriculture might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SHSE:600598
Heilongjiang Agriculture
Engages in the contracting and management of cultivated land in China.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.