Stock Analysis

COFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002423) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

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SZSE:002423

COFCO Capital Holdings (SZSE:002423) has had a rough month with its share price down 7.3%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to COFCO Capital Holdings' ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for COFCO Capital Holdings

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for COFCO Capital Holdings is:

7.7% = CN¥2.1b ÷ CN¥28b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

COFCO Capital Holdings' Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

On the face of it, COFCO Capital Holdings' ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.5%. Even so, COFCO Capital Holdings has shown a fairly decent growth in its net income which grew at a rate of 14%. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

We then performed a comparison between COFCO Capital Holdings' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 14% in the same 5-year period.

SZSE:002423 Past Earnings Growth June 11th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is COFCO Capital Holdings fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is COFCO Capital Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

In COFCO Capital Holdings' case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 24% (or a retention ratio of 76%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Additionally, COFCO Capital Holdings has paid dividends over a period of four years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that COFCO Capital Holdings has some positive attributes. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.