China Cyts Tours Holding Co., Ltd.

SHSE:600138 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥7.3b

China Cyts Tours Holding Valuation

Is 600138 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 600138 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 600138 (CN¥10.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥29.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 600138 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 600138?

Key metric: As 600138 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 600138. This is calculated by dividing 600138's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 600138's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio52.1x
EarningsCN¥140.85m
Market CapCN¥7.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 600138's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 600138 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
000888 Emei Shan TourismLtd
33.1x15.1%CN¥7.0b
000796 Caissa Tosun DevelopmentLtd
7.9x-63.9%CN¥6.5b
600054 Huangshan Tourism DevelopmentLtd
27.5x16.0%CN¥7.0b
600258 BTG Hotels (Group)
19.7x11.2%CN¥16.4b
600138 China Cyts Tours Holding
52.1x47.6%CN¥7.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 600138 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.1x) compared to the peer average (22x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 600138's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
600138 52.1xIndustry Avg. 49.3xNo. of Companies3PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 600138 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.1x) compared to the CN Hospitality industry average (49.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 600138's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

600138 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio52.1x
Fair PE Ratio46.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 600138 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 600138 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥10.14
CN¥10.71
+5.6%
12.6%CN¥13.20CN¥8.00n/a8
Dec ’25CN¥10.46
CN¥10.71
+2.4%
12.6%CN¥13.20CN¥8.00n/a8
Nov ’25CN¥10.07
CN¥10.84
+7.6%
13.0%CN¥13.20CN¥8.00n/a8
Oct ’25CN¥11.09
CN¥10.72
-3.4%
13.1%CN¥13.20CN¥8.00n/a8
Sep ’25CN¥9.34
CN¥11.17
+19.6%
11.8%CN¥13.20CN¥8.90n/a8
Aug ’25CN¥9.93
CN¥11.39
+14.7%
11.1%CN¥13.20CN¥8.90n/a8
Jul ’25CN¥9.81
CN¥11.39
+16.1%
11.1%CN¥13.20CN¥8.90n/a8
Jun ’25CN¥10.36
CN¥11.49
+10.9%
11.8%CN¥13.20CN¥8.90n/a8
May ’25CN¥10.87
CN¥12.41
+14.2%
11.9%CN¥15.27CN¥10.46n/a8
Apr ’25CN¥10.93
CN¥13.38
+22.4%
15.5%CN¥16.50CN¥10.46n/a8
Mar ’25CN¥10.34
CN¥13.38
+29.4%
15.5%CN¥16.50CN¥10.46n/a8
Feb ’25CN¥10.08
CN¥13.87
+37.6%
12.5%CN¥16.50CN¥10.50n/a8
Jan ’25CN¥10.62
CN¥14.39
+35.5%
13.9%CN¥17.20CN¥10.50n/a8
Dec ’24CN¥10.91
CN¥14.39
+31.9%
13.9%CN¥17.20CN¥10.50CN¥10.468
Nov ’24CN¥10.57
CN¥14.86
+40.6%
20.7%CN¥19.00CN¥8.90CN¥10.079
Oct ’24CN¥12.11
CN¥15.82
+30.6%
22.8%CN¥22.94CN¥8.90CN¥11.0910
Sep ’24CN¥12.64
CN¥16.27
+28.7%
25.4%CN¥22.94CN¥8.90CN¥9.348
Aug ’24CN¥13.46
CN¥16.27
+20.9%
25.4%CN¥22.94CN¥8.90CN¥9.938
Jul ’24CN¥12.51
CN¥16.27
+30.0%
25.4%CN¥22.94CN¥8.90CN¥9.818
Jun ’24CN¥12.94
CN¥16.02
+23.8%
24.7%CN¥22.94CN¥8.90CN¥10.369
May ’24CN¥14.18
CN¥15.88
+12.0%
28.9%CN¥22.94CN¥8.90CN¥10.879
Apr ’24CN¥15.22
CN¥15.66
+2.9%
28.3%CN¥22.94CN¥8.90CN¥10.939
Mar ’24CN¥15.59
CN¥15.31
-1.8%
25.7%CN¥19.80CN¥8.90CN¥10.349
Feb ’24CN¥14.79
CN¥14.98
+1.3%
25.5%CN¥19.80CN¥8.90CN¥10.089
Jan ’24CN¥15.19
CN¥12.27
-19.2%
15.5%CN¥15.00CN¥8.90CN¥10.628
Dec ’23CN¥13.95
CN¥12.27
-12.1%
15.5%CN¥15.00CN¥8.90CN¥10.918

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/31 21:03
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Cyts Tours Holding Co., Ltd. is covered by 40 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Du LIUBOCI Research Ltd.
Ronald LeungBofA Global Research
Hui ChenBohai Securities Co., Ltd.