Shanghai Bailian (Group) Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Shanghai Bailian (Group) is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20.2% and 1.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 19.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 3.9% in 3 years.

Key information

20.2%

Earnings growth rate

19.9%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth	35.2%
Revenue growth rate	1.5%
Future return on equity	3.9%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	29 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Apr 16

Recent updates

There May Be Reason For Hope In Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s (SHSE:600827) Disappointing Earnings

Apr 23

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Apr 16

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSE:600827 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	31,261	752	2,664	2,340	3
12/31/2025	30,834	695	2,488	2,209	3
12/31/2024	30,723	622	-1,973	1,340	4
3/31/2024	29,855	383	494	1,573	N/A
12/31/2023	30,519	399	2,496	3,623	N/A
9/30/2023	30,722	1,219	2,319	3,311	N/A
6/30/2023	31,492	1,128	2,712	3,703	N/A
3/31/2023	31,469	741	4,620	5,483	N/A
12/31/2022	32,286	674	2,489	3,403	N/A
9/30/2022	33,245	-17	2,886	4,071	N/A
6/30/2022	33,351	125	2,997	4,268	N/A
3/31/2022	34,598	635	2,217	3,651	N/A
12/31/2021	34,650	753	2,170	3,723	N/A
9/30/2021	35,452	933	2,831	4,433	N/A
6/30/2021	35,694	1,032	3,316	4,820	N/A
3/31/2021	35,978	1,024	3,318	4,775	N/A
12/31/2020	35,221	770	2,941	4,390	N/A
9/30/2020	39,382	658	1,273	2,529	N/A
6/30/2020	42,294	598	348	2,004	N/A
3/31/2020	45,799	649	599	2,225	N/A
12/31/2019	50,459	958	1,097	2,624	N/A
9/30/2019	50,013	889	1,166	2,626	N/A
6/30/2019	49,689	890	1,169	2,385	N/A
3/31/2019	49,110	892	660	1,804	N/A
12/31/2018	48,427	872	459	1,799	N/A
9/30/2018	47,862	868	667	2,141	N/A
6/30/2018	47,381	805	1,045	2,311	N/A
3/31/2018	47,368	795	1,062	2,744	N/A
12/31/2017	47,181	847	N/A	2,133	N/A
9/30/2017	46,660	834	N/A	2,378	N/A
6/30/2017	46,579	841	N/A	2,177	N/A
3/31/2017	46,310	855	N/A	1,444	N/A
12/31/2016	47,077	900	N/A	1,685	N/A
9/30/2016	47,755	816	N/A	1,596	N/A
6/30/2016	48,553	843	N/A	1,424	N/A
3/31/2016	48,908	897	N/A	1,407	N/A
12/31/2015	49,218	1,269	N/A	1,633	N/A
9/30/2015	50,632	1,408	N/A	1,487	N/A
6/30/2015	51,172	1,467	N/A	1,842	N/A
3/31/2015	51,642	1,449	N/A	1,937	N/A
12/31/2014	51,961	1,087	N/A	2,134	N/A
9/30/2014	51,248	1,004	N/A	1,533	N/A
6/30/2014	51,299	1,034	N/A	2,040	N/A
3/31/2014	51,320	1,073	N/A	6,060	N/A
12/31/2013	51,926	1,036	N/A	3,843	N/A
9/30/2013	51,399	1,084	N/A	4,658	N/A
6/30/2013	50,987	1,098	N/A	4,702	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 600827's forecast earnings growth (20.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).

Earnings vs Market: 600827's earnings (20.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the CN market (24.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 600827's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 600827's revenue (1.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the CN market (14.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 600827's revenue (1.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 600827's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (3.9%).

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Price target decreased by 17% to CN¥13.80

Price target increased by 19% to CN¥15.00

Price target decreased to CN¥17.00

Consensus forecasts updated

Recent updates

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.11 (vs CN¥0.12 in 1Q 2023)

There May Be Reason For Hope In Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s (SHSE:600827) Disappointing Earnings

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd.(SHSE:900923) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Price target decreased by 17% to CN¥13.80

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 13, 2024

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.009 (vs CN¥0.04 loss in 3Q 2022)

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.062 (vs CN¥0.17 loss in 2Q 2022)

Price target increased by 19% to CN¥15.00

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Less than half of directors are independent

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: CN¥0.04 loss per share (vs CN¥0.036 profit in 3Q 2021)

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: CN¥0.17 loss per share (vs CN¥0.14 profit in 2Q 2021)

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target decreased to CN¥17.00

Less than half of directors are independent

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd.(XSSC:600827) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.036 (vs CN¥0.095 in 3Q 2020)

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.14 (vs CN¥0.13 in 2Q 2020)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Consensus forecasts updated

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.15 (vs CN¥0.015 in 1Q 2020)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.095

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

New 90-day high: CN¥16.96

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

New 90-day low: CN¥13.78

Third quarter earnings released

New 90-day low: CN¥14.36

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 31, 2020

First half earnings released

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 29, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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