Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Suofeiya Home Collection Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002572) Muted Earnings Despite A 26% Share Price Rise

SZSE:002572
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Suofeiya Home Collection Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002572) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 11% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Suofeiya Home Collection's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.2x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 57x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Suofeiya Home Collection has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Suofeiya Home Collection

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002572 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 29th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Suofeiya Home Collection will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Suofeiya Home Collection's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 3.0% overall drop in EPS. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 6.9% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Suofeiya Home Collection is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Suofeiya Home Collection's P/E?

Even after such a strong price move, Suofeiya Home Collection's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Suofeiya Home Collection's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Suofeiya Home Collection that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Suofeiya Home Collection, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.