Stock Analysis

Ecovacs Robotics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603486) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

SHSE:603486
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Despite an already strong run, Ecovacs Robotics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603486) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 34% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, Ecovacs Robotics may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 43x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Ecovacs Robotics hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Ecovacs Robotics

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603486 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Ecovacs Robotics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Ecovacs Robotics' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 64% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 6.9% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 52% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 20% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ecovacs Robotics' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Ecovacs Robotics' P/E

Ecovacs Robotics shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Ecovacs Robotics' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ecovacs Robotics you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Ecovacs Robotics. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ecovacs Robotics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.